What is In Bob Brinker's Timing Model?

Bob Brinker's Timing Model totally missed the 2008 bear market. November 22, 2008, a Moneytalk caller asked Brinker: "Did your market timing model detect any of this chaos in the market?" Brinker replied: "It did not."

Some of you have asked me what is in Brinker's Timing Model. Well, I believe the answers are in these excerpts from David Korn's 2005 summary of Brinker's live appearance at the San Jose Leukemia Cure-a-thon. (I previously posted the whole Cure-a-thon summary on January 7th, 2009. Check the column on the right for the link to it.)

Peter: Bob then discussed what he looks at in his stock market timing model. He looks at (1) Economic Cycles; (2) Monetary Policy; (3) [equity] Valuation; and, (4) [investor] Sentiment......"

[Korn EC]: I updated all of the sentiment data that I believe Bob follows in his model......"

[Korn EC#2]: Another of Bob's favorite sentiment data points is the Investor's Intelligence Survey...... Using the formula [(bulls)/(bulls + bears)]......... Bob uses the four-week moving average......."

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