Those same model portfolios have remained fully invested all the way down from the October 2007 stock market highs through the 20%+ decline in 2008.
Bob Brinker's website also says that Portfolio One increased 1,167% since 1-1-88 and now has a dollar value of: $253,399. That is not the low for this year. The Portfolio dropped to $249,993 at the end of July. This same portfolio had a dollar value of $302,561 last October at the stock market all-time-high.
-$249,993 = $52,568 bear market decline in nine months.
No wonder Brinker has never admitted to missing this bear market.
Brinker's model portfolios have not made it into Hulbert's Financial Digest's Top-5 Performers (in any category) over the past 5-year time-period for a very long time now.
Why does all this matter? Because Brinker promotes his market-timing skills, it is his claim to fame. He sure isn't a stock picker or even a mutual fund picker -- as Hulbert says, his mutual fund selections generally lag the market. Perhaps that is why half of his portfolios are invested in the Total Stock Market Index.