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Saturday, March 29, 2008

Stock Market Update

Weekly Market Statistics

It looks like the NASDAQ remains in bear market territory while the others major markets are off their lows and down less than 20%, but still painfully down.

Corrections are regular parts of the market. I see them as great opportunities to accelerate your dollar cost average plans if you are below your target asset allocation and are on a DCA program to get to your target asset allocation. If you are like me and take profits as the market goes up to keep a fairly constant asset allocation, then corrections are great opportunities to get some shares back at cheaper levels to regain your target asset allocation.

Correction Statistics for 03/29/08

S&P 500 Chart
(Using Intraday prices):
Last Market High 10/11/07 at 1,576.09
Last Market low 03/17/08 at 1,256.98
Current S&P500 Price 1,315.22
Decline in Pts 260.87
Decline in % 16.6%
Max Decline 20.2%

This means the correction from intraday high to intraday low is 20.2% and we are currently 16.6% off the peak.

The decline from the high to the low on a closing basis is 18.6%
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DJIA Chart
(Using Intraday prices):
Last Market High 10/11/07 at 14,279.96
Last Market Low 01/22/08 at 11,508.74
Current DJIA Price 12,216.40
Decline in Pts 2063.56
Decline in % 14.5%
Max Decline 19.4%

This means the correction from high to low has been 19.4% and we are currently 14.5% off the peak.

The decline off the high on a closing basis has been 17.1%

NASDAQ Chart
(Using Intraday prices):
Last Market High 10/31/07 at 2,861.51
Last Market Low 03/17/08 at 2,155.42
Current NASDAQ Price 2,261.18
Decline in Pts 600.33
Decline in % 21.0%
Max Decline 24.7%

This means the correction from high to low has been 24.7% and we are currently 21.0% off the peak.

The decline off the high on a closing basis has been 24.1%

Congratulations to anyone who "market timed" from equities to Gold (GLD on this graph) last October!

For more of my recent articles, see:
BTW, if anyone wants to see what my monthly newsletter sentiment update looks like, then check out this PDF file: "Take Profits & Sell Sentiment Indicators from The Market Top." The page of my newsletter is from last year with the markets near an all time high at 1540.

The S&P500 was at 1540 when I said take profits in my monthly newsletter shortly after we had all five of the indicators say BUY on a correction.

Unlike on October 19, 2007, I am NOT saying to sell or take profits now!!!

Subscribe to my newsletter NOW to see what I recommend today!
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